在心理和教育研究中，经常遇到调节和中介效应。模型包含不止3个变量时，可能同时包含调节和中介变量，一种常见的模型是有中介的调节模型。本文评介了文献上可以找到的五种检验有中介的调节模型的方法，逐一甄别，指出其中一些不合理之处，并推荐较好的方法。整合其中主要方法，总结出检验有中介的调节模型的流程，用偏差校正的百分位 Bootstrap 法或马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗法检验其中的中介效应，并用一个实际例子演示如何用此流程检验有中介的调节模型。

Moderation and mediation are frequently used in the research of psychology and behavior. Moderation occurs when the effect of an independent variable on a dependent variable varies according to the level of a third variable, termed as moderator, which interacts with the independent variable. Moderation focuses on factors that influence the strength and/or direction of the relation between the independent variable and dependent variable. Mediation indicates that the effect of an independent variable on a dependent variable is transmitted through a third variable, which is called mediator. Mediation addresses how that effect is produced. It is not uncommon for hypotheses about moderation and mediation relationships to occur in the same context. Models in which interaction effects are hypothesized to be mediated are appearing with increasing frequency. When a moderating effect is transmitted through a mediator, the effect is termed mediated moderation and the model is mediated moderator m

目的研究生态移民社会适应与心理健康水平间的中介变量,考察应对方式、心理弹性、领悟社会支持等个人资源在生态移民的社会适应与心理健康之间的中介作用。方法本研究采用问卷法对309名生态移民的社会适应和心理健康状况进行调查,研究社会适应对心理健康水平的影响,并且考察个人资源的中介作用。结果心理健康与社会适应、应对方式、心理弹性存在正相关（r=0.323,0.238,0.174;P〈0.01）。领悟社会支持和社会适应、应对方式、心理弹性正相关（r=0.289,0.217,0.430;P〈0.01）。考察单一变量在生态移民的社会适应与心理健康之间的中介作用时,应对方式、心理弹性的中介作用显著,中介效应分别为13.61%（P〈0.01）和9.33%（P〈0.01）;领悟社会支持的中介效应不显著（P〉0.05）;当同时考察应对方式、心理弹性、领悟社会支持在生态移民的社会适应与心理健康之间的中介作用时,中介效应不显著（P〉0.05）。结论应对方式、心理弹性分别是生态移民社会适应影响心理健康的中介变量。

Objective To study the intermediary variables of ecological migrants''social adaptation and mental health,and the media-ting effect of personal resources such as coping style,mental flexibility,perceived social support on ecological migration social adaptation and mental health.Methods This study used questionnaire to investigate 309 ecological migrants''social adaptation and mental health, the influence of social adaptation on the mental health,and the mediating role of personal resources were analyzed.Results The results of the study showed that:When we studied the intermediary role of single variable in ecological migrants social adaptation and mental health,coping style and mental flexibility were significant mediators,the mediating effect were respectively 13.61%( P 0.05);While we studied the mediating effect of coping style,mental flexibility and perceived social support in the ecological immigrants society adaptation and mental health at the same time,intermediating ef

基于制度变量的内生性、作用的时滞以及区域经济增长的趋势性,本文利用动态面板数据模型,实证分析综合制度变量和政府与市场关系、非国有经济发展、产品市场竞争、要素市场竞争、市场中介和法制环境五个子制度变量对区域经济增长的影响。结果表明区域经济增长趋势性显著;综合制度变量对经济增长的贡献大小顺序是东部、西部和中部;分维度制度变量中,非国有经济发展在区域经济增长差异中起着重要作用,政府与市场的关系在西部地区对经济的贡献最大,市场中介和法律环境在全国和各区域均没有表现出显著性。

In light of the institutional variables’ endogeneity, time-lag of its economic effects and the tendency of GDP, this article gives an empirical analysis of the institution’s influence on regional economic growth with dynamic panel data models. The institution variable is stated with the integrated institution variable and five sub-institution variables respectively. The result shows that tendency of regional economy growth is distinctive. Contribution of integrated system variable on econo-my growth is in sequence:the east, the west and the central area. Non-state-owned economy development played an important role in regional economy growth differences. Government and market’s relationship in the west contributed most to economy growth. Market intermediary and legal environment variable had no significant performance nationwide or in all regions.

通过构建宏观压力测试模型,研究宏观经济波动对商业银行信用风险的影响。以不良贷款率作为评估商业银行信用风险的指标,根据Logit模型将商业不良贷款率转换为中介指标,然后将中介指标与各宏观经济变量进行多元回归分析以及对各宏观经济变量进行向量自回归分析。研究结果表明:选定的宏观经济变量对商业银行不良贷款率都有显著性的影响,同时,在设定的情景压力下,商业银行不良贷款率都有不同程度的增加。

We research the impact of macro economic fluctuation on credit risk of commercial banks by the macro stress test model .We choose Non-performing loans in commercial bank as the measurement of credit risk .Use Logit equation transferring it into an intermediate indicator which could reflect the default probability of banking system.And then establish linear regression model with kinds of macroeconomic variables and the each vector autoregression analysis with macroeconomic variables .At last.We get the distribution of Non-performing Loans rate under macroeco-nomic stocks through scenario analysis and Monte Carlo stimulation method .The results show that these macroeconomic have significant impacts on the Non-performing Loans of commercial banks.Meanwhile the Non-performing Loans of commercial have increased with different extents under the given scenario pressure.

群体性事件是当下我国典型的集群行为。本研究通过问卷调查和实验室情境设计的方法，考察了民众面临的群际威胁通过群体效能和群体愤怒的中介作用影响集群行为意向的双路径模型，及群体认同对该双路径模型的调节效应。结果表明：1)群体效能和群体愤怒均是群际威胁(现实威胁和认同威胁)影响集群行为意向的中介变量。且现实威胁通过群体效能影响集群行为意向的中介作用强于其通过群体愤怒影响集群行为意向的中介作用；认同威胁通过群体愤怒影响集群行为意向的中介作用强于其通过群体效能影响集群行为意向的中介作用。2)群体认同是群际威胁影响集群行为意向的调节变量，群体认同的调节效应通过群体效能和群体愤怒的中介作用实现。本研究扩展了集群行为的双路径模型，并为政府预防和化解群体性事件提供思路。

As the representation of social contradictions, collective action in China typically involves mass incidents, which refer to the conflicts between certain civilians and local administration. A group member engages in collective action any time that he or she acts as a representative of a group and when the action is directed at improving the conditions for the entire group. This research focused on the motivation mechanism underlying collective action in different intergroup threat (i.e., realistic threat and identity threat) by using a survey (study 1) and an experiment (study 2). The main purpose of study 1 was to investigate the mediated effects of groupefficacy (one pathway) and group-based anger (another pathway) on the relation between intergroup treat and collective action intention. Moreover, study 2 explored the moderated effect of group identity in the dual-pathway model. The results indicated that: First, both group efficacy and group-based anger were mediators of the relati