基于产业结构贡献统计的多部门经济模型,分析1951—2012年广西产业结构变动对经济增长贡献的时间差异和2002—2012年广西各地区产业结构变动对区域经济增长贡献的空间差异。受计划经济和市场经济下不同政策手段与方式的影响,在时间上广西产业结构变动对经济增长贡献呈两阶段波动收敛,在空间上三大经济区呈自西向东梯度推移的规律性变化,因受二产不断增加因素的影响,14个城市间产业结构变动过程差异显著,且三大经济区和14个城市的经济政策使产业结构变动与区域经济增长呈反向变化。后工业社会和市场经济条件下,完善开放统一要素市场,促进要素资源流动,构建分工合理与布局科学的产业体系,逐步以间接调控方式并遵循市场规律来推动产业结构优化和升级,应成为国家从宏观层面制定产业结构调整政策时需要考量的重点。
Based on the contribution of industrial structure statistical multispectral economic model , this paper analyzes the time difference for industrial structure change to the contribution of economic growth in Guangxi from 1951 to 2012, and the space difference for industrial structure change to regional economic growth in Guangxi from 2002 to 2012.Results show that, under the influence of different policy means and modes which is planned econo -my and market economy, industrial structure change contribution to economic growth in Guangxi appearing two phase fluctuations of convergence on the time , three economic zones show regular change of gradient goes from west to east on the space.Due to the secondary industry growing factors , the industrial structure change process of 14 cities is significant difference, the economic policies of the three major economic zones and the 14 cities make it re-verse change between the industrial structure change and the regional economic growth